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Kalshi vs Polymarket on La Liga games: where the prices disagree today

14 La Liga games priced on both Kalshi and Polymarket right now, $1.3M traded in 24 hours. The widest disagreement is Getafe CF at -1.0 pp. Updated every 45 seconds.

EventOutcomeKalshiPolymarketGap (K − P)Net edge
Getafe CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña
Sep 13, 12:30 PM ET
Getafe CF42¢43¢-1.0 pp-6.19¢
Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona
Sep 13, 10:15 AM ET
FC Barcelona78¢77¢+1.5 pp-2.89¢
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Málaga CF
Sep 13, 8:00 AM ET
RC Celta de Vigo54¢56¢-2.0 pp-6.79¢
Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Sep 12, 3:00 PM ET
Real Madrid CF87¢87¢0.0 pp-2.28¢
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid
Sep 13, 3:00 PM ET
Club Atlético de Madrid43¢43¢+0.5 pp-5.31¢
Villarreal CF vs. Real Betis Balompié
Sep 14, 3:00 PM ET
Villarreal CF50¢50¢0.0 pp-7.21¢
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona
Sep 6, 10:15 AM ET
FC Barcelona78¢77¢+1.0 pp-3.30¢
Málaga CF vs. Levante UD
Sep 6, 12:30 PM ET
Málaga CF40¢40¢0.0 pp-4.27¢
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC
Sep 6, 3:00 PM ET
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona42¢43¢-0.5 pp-5.23¢
Elche CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol
Sep 7, 3:30 PM ET
Real Sociedad de Fútbol41¢41¢0.0 pp-5.22¢
Athletic Club vs. Elche CF
Sep 12, 12:30 PM ET
Athletic Club64¢65¢-1.0 pp-4.50¢
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Sep 12, 10:15 AM ET
CA Osasuna48¢47¢+0.5 pp-4.95¢
Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna
Sep 6, 12:30 PM ET
Deportivo Alavés43¢43¢0.0 pp-6.07¢
Getafe CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo
Sep 7, 1:00 PM ET
Getafe CF40¢40¢0.0 pp-6.13¢

How this is built

Every event listed on both exchanges is matched outcome by outcome: games by team codes and date, multi-outcome markets by name. Prices are mid-market: Polymarket from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket in percentage points. Thin books (spread over 10¢) and near-certain favorites are excluded from this table.

Net edge

Buy one side on one venue and the other side on the other, both at the ask. Edge is $1 minus total cost minus taker fees, Kalshi ⌈0.07·P·(1−P)⌉ per contract and Polymarket 0.05·P·(1−P) on sports. Not advice; nothing here places orders.

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