VenueGap

Kalshi vs Polymarket on NHL games: where the prices disagree today

29 NHL games priced on both Kalshi and Polymarket right now, $55k traded in 24 hours. The widest disagreement is Hurricanes at +$0.04. Updated every 45 seconds.

EventOutcomeKalshiPolymarketGap, + = Kalshi higherEdge after fees
Hurricanes vs. Islanders
Nov 5, 7:00 PM ET
Hurricanes$0.61$0.57+$0.04-1.22%
Sharks vs. Wild
Nov 6, 8:00 PM ET
Wild$0.68$0.72−$0.04-3.03%
Ducks vs. Oilers
Nov 5, 8:00 PM ET
Oilers$0.63$0.66−$0.03-3.14%
Utah vs. Maple Leafs
Nov 3, 7:00 PM ET
Utah$0.55$0.54+$0.02-2.24%
Wild vs. Flyers
Nov 3, 7:00 PM ET
Wild$0.64$0.62+$0.02-2.18%
Hurricanes vs. Predators
Nov 3, 8:00 PM ET
Hurricanes$0.65$0.63+$0.03-3.17%
Flyers vs. Rangers
Nov 5, 7:00 PM ET
Rangers$0.61$0.63−$0.03-5.18%
Oilers vs. Rangers
Nov 1, 6:00 PM ET
Rangers$0.54$0.54$0.00-4.25%
Avalanche vs. Blue Jackets
Nov 3, 7:00 PM ET
Avalanche$0.57$0.55+$0.02-6.23%
Blues vs. Devils
Nov 5, 7:00 PM ET
Devils$0.60$0.60$0.00-6.19%
Blue Jackets vs. Sabres
Nov 6, 7:00 PM ET
Sabres$0.62$0.64−$0.02-5.17%
Red Wings vs. Panthers
Nov 2, 7:00 PM ET
Panthers$0.61$0.60+$0.02-4.20%
Blues vs. Rangers
Nov 3, 7:00 PM ET
Rangers$0.52$0.54−$0.02-4.25%
Oilers vs. Devils
Nov 3, 7:30 PM ET
Devils$0.58$0.56+$0.02-4.23%
Blackhawks vs. Panthers
Nov 4, 7:30 PM ET
Panthers$0.71$0.70+$0.02-4.05%
Bruins vs. Penguins
Nov 5, 7:00 PM ET
Bruins$0.50$0.52−$0.02-4.25%
Canucks vs. Jets
Nov 5, 7:00 PM ET
Jets$0.64$0.66−$0.02-5.14%
Blackhawks vs. Lightning
Nov 5, 7:00 PM ET
Lightning$0.77$0.78−$0.01-4.89%
Senators vs. Sabres
Nov 4, 7:30 PM ET
Sabres$0.54$0.56−$0.01-5.24%
Jets vs. Hurricanes
Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
Hurricanes$0.73$0.72+$0.01-3.01%
Utah vs. Flyers
Nov 1, 4:00 PM ET
Utah$0.61$0.60+$0.01-3.20%
Senators vs. Ducks
Nov 1, 8:00 PM ET
Senators$0.51$0.52−$0.01-3.25%
Predators vs. Avalanche
Nov 5, 9:30 PM ET
Avalanche$0.68$0.69−$0.01-7.05%
Red Wings vs. Lightning
Nov 3, 7:00 PM ET
Lightning$0.70$0.70+$0.01-4.05%
Stars vs. Blue Jackets
Nov 5, 7:00 PM ET
Stars$0.56$0.56$0.00-6.23%
Avalanche vs. Blackhawks
Nov 2, 8:00 PM ET
Avalanche$0.71$0.71$0.00-4.05%
Stars vs. Capitals
Nov 3, 7:00 PM ET
Capitals$0.51$0.51$0.00-6.25%
Wild vs. Capitals
Nov 1, 3:30 PM ET
Wild$0.51$0.51$0.00-4.25%
Ducks vs. Canucks
Nov 3, 9:00 PM ET
Ducks$0.59$0.59$0.00-5.22%

How this is built

Every event listed on both exchanges is matched outcome by outcome: games by team codes and date, multi-outcome markets by name. Prices are mid-market, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens: Polymarket from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket. Thin books (spread over $0.10) and near-certain favorites are excluded from this table.

Edge after fees

Buy one side on one venue and the other side on the other, both at the ask. Edge is $1 minus total cost minus taker fees, Kalshi ⌈0.07·P·(1−P)⌉ per contract and Polymarket 0.05·P·(1−P) on sports, as a percent of the $1 payout. Not advice; nothing here places orders.

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