Kalshi vs Polymarket on Counter-Strike matches: where the prices disagree today

22 Counter-Strike matches priced on both Kalshi and Polymarket right now, $537k traded in 24 hours. The widest disagreement is Bounty Hunters Esports at -7.0 pp. Updated every 45 seconds.

Event	Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Gap (K − P)	Net edge
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs RED Canids Academy (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Open Qualifier #2 Playoffs Sep 6, 6:00 PM ET	Bounty Hunters Esports	78¢	86¢	-7.0 pp	0.36¢	Kalshi · Polymarket
Counter-Strike: Esport BERG vs mellren (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #6 Group D Sep 6, 9:00 AM ET	mellren	72¢	69¢	+3.0 pp	-2.07¢	Kalshi · Polymarket
Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs Sep 6, 7:00 AM ET	SAW Youngsters	54¢	52¢	+2.5 pp	-2.25¢	Kalshi · Polymarket
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Group Stage Sep 6, 4:00 AM ET	Bushido Wildcats	65¢	67¢	-2.0 pp	-3.12¢	Kalshi · Polymarket
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Butterfly (BO1) - PGL Masters European Open Qualifier #2 Playoffs Sep 6, 10:00 AM ET	K27	67¢	66¢	+1.0 pp	-4.11¢	Kalshi · Polymarket
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Drama eSports (BO1) - PGL Masters European Open Qualifier #2 Playoffs Sep 6, 10:00 AM ET	fnatic	84¢	83¢	+1.5 pp	-6.60¢	Kalshi · Polymarket
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #6 Group C Sep 6, 9:00 AM ET	WRAITH PCIFIC	85¢	86¢	-1.5 pp	-2.64¢	Kalshi · Polymarket
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs ASTRAL (BO1) - PGL Masters European Open Qualifier #2 Playoffs Sep 6, 10:00 AM ET	FOKUS	66¢	67¢	-1.5 pp	-3.12¢	Kalshi · Polymarket
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B Sep 7, 11:00 PM ET	Legacy	73¢	71¢	+1.5 pp	-5.99¢	Kalshi · Polymarket
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs Sep 6, 5:00 AM ET	NIP	56¢	57¢	-1.0 pp	-3.23¢	Kalshi · Polymarket
Counter-Strike: Strael-Bora vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs Sep 6, 9:45 AM ET	megoshort	72¢	71¢	+1.0 pp	-4.01¢	Kalshi · Polymarket
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO1) - PGL Masters European Open Qualifier #2 Playoffs Sep 6, 10:00 AM ET	CYBERSHOKE Esports	54¢	54¢	0.0 pp	-4.24¢	Kalshi · Polymarket
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs GenOne (BO1) - PGL Masters European Open Qualifier #2 Playoffs Sep 6, 10:00 AM ET	1WIN	67¢	68¢	-0.5 pp	-6.12¢	Kalshi · Polymarket
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Dark Moon (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #6 Group B Sep 6, 9:00 AM ET	BASEMENT BOYS	84¢	83¢	+0.5 pp	-4.67¢	Kalshi · Polymarket
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #6 Group C Sep 6, 9:00 AM ET	MOUZ NXT	54¢	53¢	+0.5 pp	-4.24¢	Kalshi · Polymarket
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO1) - PGL Masters European Open Qualifier #2 Playoffs Sep 6, 10:00 AM ET	Heroic	78¢	78¢	+0.5 pp	-4.83¢	Kalshi · Polymarket
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Nordic Partners Gaming (BO1) - PGL Masters European Open Qualifier #2 Playoffs Sep 6, 10:00 AM ET	JiJieHao	71¢	72¢	-0.5 pp	-6.05¢	Kalshi · Polymarket
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Playoffs Sep 6, 2:00 PM ET	Galorys	74¢	75¢	-0.5 pp	-3.96¢	Kalshi · Polymarket
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Imperial (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Playoffs Sep 6, 11:00 AM ET	Imperial	79¢	80¢	-0.5 pp	-3.83¢	Kalshi · Polymarket
Counter-Strike: Privateer Gaming vs HAVU (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #6 Group D Sep 6, 9:00 AM ET	HAVU	79¢	79¢	0.0 pp	-3.83¢	Kalshi · Polymarket
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs Sep 6, 7:00 AM ET	Nemiga	56¢	56¢	0.0 pp	-4.23¢	Kalshi · Polymarket
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs Sep 6, 10:00 AM ET	Spirit	65¢	65¢	0.0 pp	-4.14¢	Kalshi · Polymarket

How this is built

Every event listed on both exchanges is matched outcome by outcome: games by team codes and date, multi-outcome markets by name. Prices are mid-market: Polymarket from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket in percentage points. Thin books (spread over 10¢) and near-certain favorites are excluded from this table.

Net edge

Buy one side on one venue and the other side on the other, both at the ask. Edge is $1 minus total cost minus taker fees, Kalshi ⌈0.07·P·(1−P)⌉ per contract and Polymarket 0.05·P·(1−P) on sports. Not advice; nothing here places orders.

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