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Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa odds, Sep 18: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Paula Badosa 70% on Kalshi, 70% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa, Sep 18, $4k traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Fri, Sep 18, 2026, 9:00 AM ET · WTA tennis matches · $4k traded in 24h across both venues

Paula Badosa: Kalshi $0.70 vs Polymarket $0.70, −$0.01

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.70 is a 70% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-5.09% after fees
Buy Mary Stoiana @ Polymarket $0.32, Paula Badosa @ Kalshi $0.70

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Mary Stoiana$0.28 / $0.32$0.28 / $0.32$0.00
Paula Badosa$0.69 / $0.70$0.68 / $0.72−$0.01

Price history, last 3 days

8 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

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