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UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Luis Hernandez (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) odds, Sep 26: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Luis Hernandez 70% on Kalshi, 70% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Luis Hernandez (Light Heavyweight, Main Card), Sep 26, $360k traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Sat, Sep 26, 2026, 5:00 PM ET · started · UFC fights · $360k traded in 24h across both venues

Luis Hernandez: Kalshi $0.70 vs Polymarket $0.70, $0.00

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.70 is a 70% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-4.07% after fees
Buy Luis Hernandez @ Kalshi $0.70, Sedriques Dumas @ Polymarket $0.31

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Luis Hernandez$0.69 / $0.70$0.69 / $0.70$0.00
Sedriques Dumas$0.31 / $0.32$0.30 / $0.31+$0.01

Price history, last 3 days

144 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

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