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UFC Fight Night: Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card) odds, Oct 31: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Jacobe Smith 70% on Kalshi, 71% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of UFC Fight Night: Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card), Oct 31, $316 traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 5:00 PM ET · UFC fights · $316 traded in 24h across both venues

Jacobe Smith: Kalshi $0.70 vs Polymarket $0.71, −$0.01

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.70 is a 70% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-5.01% after fees
Buy Randy Brown @ Kalshi $0.30, Jacobe Smith @ Polymarket $0.72

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Randy Brown$0.28 / $0.30$0.28 / $0.30$0.00
Jacobe Smith$0.68 / $0.72$0.70 / $0.72−$0.01

Price history, last 3 days

6 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

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