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UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card) odds, Oct 10: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Matheus Camilo 64% on Kalshi, 63% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card), Oct 10, $237k traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 5:00 PM ET · started · UFC fights · $237k traded in 24h across both venues

Matheus Camilo: Kalshi $0.64 vs Polymarket $0.63, +$0.01

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.64 is a 64% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-3.17% after fees
Buy Matheus Camilo @ Polymarket $0.63, Jai Herbert @ Kalshi $0.37

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Matheus Camilo$0.63 / $0.64$0.62 / $0.63+$0.01
Jai Herbert$0.36 / $0.37$0.37 / $0.38−$0.01

Price history, last 3 days

255 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

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