VenueGap

← UFC fights

UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card) odds, Nov 14: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Bilal Hasan 86% on Kalshi, 86% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card), Nov 14, $617 traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 5:00 PM ET · UFC fights · $617 traded in 24h across both venues

Bilal Hasan: Kalshi $0.86 vs Polymarket $0.86, $0.00

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.86 is a 86% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-9.41% after fees
Buy Bilal Hasan @ Polymarket $0.91, Luis Gurule @ Kalshi $0.17

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Bilal Hasan$0.83 / $0.89$0.81 / $0.91$0.00
Luis Gurule$0.12 / $0.17$0.09 / $0.19+$0.01

Price history, last 3 days

7 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

All UFC fights disagreements · Full price history · Daily reports