VenueGap

← UFC fights

UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims) odds, Oct 3: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Ismail Naurdiev 57% on Kalshi, 55% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims), Oct 3, $139 traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Sat, Oct 3, 2026, 5:00 PM ET · UFC fights · $139 traded in 24h across both venues

Ismail Naurdiev: Kalshi $0.57 vs Polymarket $0.55, +$0.02

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.57 is a 57% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-12.20% after fees
Buy Marvin Vettori @ Kalshi $0.49, Ismail Naurdiev @ Polymarket $0.60

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Marvin Vettori$0.38 / $0.49$0.40 / $0.50−$0.02
Ismail Naurdiev$0.50 / $0.64$0.50 / $0.60+$0.02

Price history, last 3 days

2 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

All UFC fights disagreements · Full price history · Daily reports