VenueGap

← UFC fights

UFC 332: King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Main Card) odds, Oct 3: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Esteban Ribovics 57% on Kalshi, 59% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of UFC 332: King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Main Card), Oct 3, $1k traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Sat, Oct 3, 2026, 5:00 PM ET · UFC fights · $1k traded in 24h across both venues

Esteban Ribovics: Kalshi $0.57 vs Polymarket $0.59, −$0.01

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.57 is a 57% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-14.12% after fees
Buy King Green @ Kalshi $0.45, Esteban Ribovics @ Polymarket $0.66

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
King Green$0.39 / $0.45$0.34 / $0.49+$0.01
Esteban Ribovics$0.53 / $0.62$0.51 / $0.66−$0.01

Price history, last 3 days

3 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

All UFC fights disagreements · Full price history · Daily reports