VenueGap

← UFC fights

Dana White's Contender Series: Preston LaGrange vs. Nell Ariano (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) odds, Oct 6: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Nell Ariano 79% on Kalshi, 81% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of Dana White's Contender Series: Preston LaGrange vs. Nell Ariano (Light Heavyweight, Main Card), Oct 6, $5k traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Tue, Oct 6, 2026, 7:00 PM ET · UFC fights · $5k traded in 24h across both venues

Nell Ariano: Kalshi $0.79 vs Polymarket $0.81, −$0.02

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.79 is a 79% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-1.80% after fees
Buy Preston LaGrange @ Polymarket $0.20, Nell Ariano @ Kalshi $0.79

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Preston LaGrange$0.21 / $0.22$0.19 / $0.20+$0.02
Nell Ariano$0.78 / $0.79$0.80 / $0.81−$0.02

Price history, last 3 days

8 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

All UFC fights disagreements · Full price history · Daily reports