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Dana White's Contender Series: Jaden Ortega vs. Alvi Dasuyev (Welterweight, Main Card) odds, Sep 22: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Alvi Dasuyev 65% on Kalshi, 66% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of Dana White's Contender Series: Jaden Ortega vs. Alvi Dasuyev (Welterweight, Main Card), Sep 22, $234 traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Tue, Sep 22, 2026, 7:00 PM ET · UFC fights · $234 traded in 24h across both venues

Alvi Dasuyev: Kalshi $0.65 vs Polymarket $0.66, −$0.01

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.65 is a 65% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-8.19% after fees
Buy Jaden Ortega @ Polymarket $0.39, Alvi Dasuyev @ Kalshi $0.66

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Jaden Ortega$0.35 / $0.36$0.30 / $0.39+$0.01
Alvi Dasuyev$0.63 / $0.66$0.61 / $0.70−$0.01

Price history, last 3 days

9 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

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