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Dana White's Contender Series: Davi Cabral vs. Douglas da Lapa (Middleweight, Main Card) odds, Oct 13: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Douglas da Lapa 64% on Kalshi, 63% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of Dana White's Contender Series: Davi Cabral vs. Douglas da Lapa (Middleweight, Main Card), Oct 13, $8k traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 7:00 PM ET · UFC fights · $8k traded in 24h across both venues

Douglas da Lapa: Kalshi $0.64 vs Polymarket $0.63, +$0.01

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.64 is a 64% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-5.15% after fees
Buy Douglas da Lapa @ Polymarket $0.64, Davi Cabral @ Kalshi $0.38

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Douglas da Lapa$0.63 / $0.64$0.62 / $0.64+$0.01
Davi Cabral$0.37 / $0.38$0.36 / $0.38+$0.01

Price history, last 3 days

139 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

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