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Dana White's Contender Series: Callum Connor vs. Piero Guaylupo (Lightweight, Main Card) odds, Sep 22: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Piero Guaylupo 54% on Kalshi, 52% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of Dana White's Contender Series: Callum Connor vs. Piero Guaylupo (Lightweight, Main Card), Sep 22, $17k traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Tue, Sep 22, 2026, 7:00 PM ET · UFC fights · $17k traded in 24h across both venues

Piero Guaylupo: Kalshi $0.54 vs Polymarket $0.52, +$0.02

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.54 is a 54% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-3.25% after fees
Buy Callum Connor @ Kalshi $0.48, Piero Guaylupo @ Polymarket $0.52

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Callum Connor$0.47 / $0.48$0.48 / $0.49−$0.01
Piero Guaylupo$0.53 / $0.54$0.51 / $0.52+$0.02

Price history, last 3 days

146 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

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