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Thunder vs. Hawks odds, Oct 12: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Thunder 60% on Kalshi, 61% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of Thunder vs. Hawks, Oct 12, $61k traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 7:00 PM ET · NBA games · $61k traded in 24h across both venues

Thunder: Kalshi $0.60 vs Polymarket $0.61, −$0.01

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.60 is a 60% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-5.10% after fees
Buy Thunder @ Kalshi $0.62, Hawks @ Polymarket $0.40

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Thunder$0.58 / $0.62$0.60 / $0.61−$0.01
Hawks$0.38 / $0.44$0.39 / $0.40+$0.02

Price history, last 3 days

142 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

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