VenueGap

← MLB games

Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres odds, Sep 30: Kalshi vs Polymarket

San Diego Padres 54% on Kalshi, 54% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres, Sep 30, $2k traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Wed, Sep 30, 2026, 6:33 AM ET · MLB games · $2k traded in 24h across both venues

San Diego Padres: Kalshi $0.54 vs Polymarket $0.54, $0.00

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.54 is a 54% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-4.24% after fees
Buy Chicago Cubs @ Kalshi $0.46, San Diego Padres @ Polymarket $0.55

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Chicago Cubs$0.45 / $0.46$0.45 / $0.47$0.00
San Diego Padres$0.53 / $0.55$0.53 / $0.55$0.00

Price history, last 3 days

6 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

All MLB games disagreements · Full price history · Daily reports