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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres odds, Sep 26: Kalshi vs Polymarket

San Diego Padres 53% on Kalshi, 54% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres, Sep 26, $495 traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Sat, Sep 26, 2026, 8:40 PM ET · MLB games · $495 traded in 24h across both venues

San Diego Padres: Kalshi $0.53 vs Polymarket $0.54, −$0.01

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.53 is a 53% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-5.25% after fees
Buy Arizona Diamondbacks @ Polymarket $0.48, San Diego Padres @ Kalshi $0.54

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Arizona Diamondbacks$0.45 / $0.48$0.45 / $0.48$0.00
San Diego Padres$0.52 / $0.54$0.52 / $0.55−$0.01

Price history, last 3 days

153 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

All MLB games disagreements · Full price history · Daily reports