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Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage odds, Oct 6: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Team Falcons 61% on Kalshi, 61% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage, Oct 6, $116k traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Tue, Oct 6, 2026, 1:00 PM ET · Counter-Strike matches · $116k traded in 24h across both venues

Team Falcons: Kalshi $0.61 vs Polymarket $0.61, $0.00

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.61 is a 61% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-4.19% after fees
Buy Natus Vincere @ Kalshi $0.40, Team Falcons @ Polymarket $0.61

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Natus Vincere$0.39 / $0.40$0.39 / $0.40$0.00
Team Falcons$0.60 / $0.61$0.60 / $0.61$0.00

Price history, last 3 days

6 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

All Counter-Strike matches disagreements · Full price history · Daily reports