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Counter-Strike: paiN vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Group A odds, Oct 21: Kalshi vs Polymarket

paiN 64% on Kalshi, 72% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of Counter-Strike: paiN vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Group A, Oct 21, $23k traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Wed, Oct 21, 2026, 2:50 PM ET · started · Counter-Strike matches · $23k traded in 24h across both venues

paiN: Kalshi $0.64 vs Polymarket $0.72, −$0.08

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.64 is a 64% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

+2.97% after fees
Buy Fluxo W7M @ Polymarket $0.29, paiN @ Kalshi $0.65

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Fluxo W7M$0.33 / $0.39$0.27 / $0.29+$0.08
paiN$0.63 / $0.65$0.71 / $0.73−$0.08

Price history, last 3 days

8 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

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