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Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Dark Moon (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage odds, Oct 30: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Dark Moon 51% on Kalshi, 51% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Dark Moon (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage, Oct 30, $390 traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Fri, Oct 30, 2026, 5:00 AM ET · started · Counter-Strike matches · $390 traded in 24h across both venues

Dark Moon: Kalshi $0.51 vs Polymarket $0.51, −$0.01

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.51 is a 51% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-19.23% after fees
Buy Dark Moon @ Polymarket $0.57, Lilmix @ Kalshi $0.59

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Dark Moon$0.39 / $0.62$0.45 / $0.57−$0.01
Lilmix$0.36 / $0.59$0.43 / $0.55−$0.02

Price history, last 3 days

6 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

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