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Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs odds, Sep 26: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Astralis 54% on Kalshi, 54% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs, Sep 26, $503 traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Sat, Sep 26, 2026, 6:00 AM ET · Counter-Strike matches · $503 traded in 24h across both venues

Astralis: Kalshi $0.54 vs Polymarket $0.54, +$0.01

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.54 is a 54% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-4.24% after fees
Buy Astralis @ Polymarket $0.54, 100 Thieves @ Kalshi $0.47

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Astralis$0.52 / $0.56$0.53 / $0.54+$0.01
100 Thieves$0.44 / $0.47$0.46 / $0.47−$0.01

Price history, last 3 days

6 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

All Counter-Strike matches disagreements · Full price history · Daily reports