VenueGap

← Bundesliga games

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Hamburger SV odds, Oct 10: Kalshi vs Polymarket

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 68% on Kalshi, 69% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Hamburger SV, Oct 10, $0 traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 9:30 AM ET · Bundesliga games · $0 traded in 24h across both venues

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Kalshi $0.68 vs Polymarket $0.69, −$0.01

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.68 is a 68% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-6.65% after fees
Buy TSG 1899 Hoffenheim @ Polymarket $0.70, Hamburger SV @ Polymarket $0.14, Draw @ Kalshi $0.19

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim$0.65 / $0.70$0.68 / $0.70−$0.01
Hamburger SV$0.09 / $0.14$0.11 / $0.14−$0.01
Draw$0.13 / $0.19$0.17 / $0.20−$0.02

Price history, last 3 days

4 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

All Bundesliga games disagreements · Full price history · Daily reports