VenueGap

← Bundesliga games

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München odds, Nov 7: Kalshi vs Polymarket

FC Bayern München 69% on Kalshi, 69% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München, Nov 7, $315 traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 9:30 AM ET · Bundesliga games · $315 traded in 24h across both venues

FC Bayern München: Kalshi $0.69 vs Polymarket $0.69, $0.00

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.69 is a 69% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-4.72% after fees
Buy 1. FSV Mainz 05 @ Polymarket $0.16, FC Bayern München @ Polymarket $0.70, Draw @ Kalshi $0.16

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
1. FSV Mainz 05$0.14 / $0.16$0.14 / $0.16$0.00
FC Bayern München$0.68 / $0.70$0.68 / $0.70$0.00
Draw$0.15 / $0.16$0.15 / $0.17−$0.01

Price history, last 3 days

144 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

All Bundesliga games disagreements · Full price history · Daily reports