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Champions League 2027 winner odds: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Barcelona leads at 25% on Kalshi and 23% on Polymarket. All 11 outcomes compared side by side, $1.5M traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Sat, Jun 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET · Champions League winner · $1.5M traded in 24h across both venues

Barcelona: Kalshi $0.25 vs Polymarket $0.23, +$0.02

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.25 is a 25% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Barcelona$0.24 / $0.25$0.22 / $0.23+$0.02
Paris Saint-Germain$0.19 / $0.20$0.18 / $0.19+$0.01
Arsenal$0.13 / $0.14$0.13 / $0.14$0.00
Bayern Munich$0.13 / $0.14$0.13 / $0.14$0.00
Real Madrid$0.11 / $0.12$0.10 / $0.11+$0.01
Manchester City$0.07 / $0.08$0.07 / $0.08$0.00
Liverpool$0.03 / $0.04$0.04 / $0.05−$0.01
Inter Milan$0.02 / $0.03$0.02 / $0.02$0.00
Atlético Madrid$0.01 / $0.02$0.02 / $0.02−$0.01
Manchester United$0.01 / $0.02$0.01 / $0.02$0.00
Aston Villa$0.01 / $0.02$0.01 / $0.01$0.00

Price history, last 3 days

294 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Multi-outcome markets are matched outcome by outcome by name, with an alias table for the usual spellings. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

All Champions League winner disagreements · Full price history · Daily reports