Republican Presidential Nominee 2028: Kalshi vs Polymarket prices
Mon, Nov 6, 2028, 7:00 PM ET · the 2028 Republican nomination · $1.0M traded in 24h across both venues.
J.D. Vance: Kalshi 46¢ vs Polymarket 50¢, -4.6 pp
Mid prices. A price is the market's probability: 46¢ means 46%. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket in percentage points.
Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.
All outcomes
| Outcome | Kalshi bid / ask | Polymarket bid / ask | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| J.D. Vance | 45¢ / 46¢ | 50¢ / 50¢ | -4.6 pp |
| Marco Rubio | 20¢ / 21¢ | 20¢ / 20¢ | +0.5 pp |
| Ron DeSantis | 4¢ / 5¢ | 3¢ / 3¢ | +1.9 pp |
| Tucker Carlson | 2¢ / 3¢ | 3¢ / 3¢ | -0.6 pp |
| Donald Trump | 2¢ / 2¢ | 2¢ / 2¢ | +0.1 pp |
| Ted Cruz | 2¢ / 2¢ | 2¢ / 2¢ | +0.4 pp |
| Glenn Youngkin | 1¢ / 2¢ | 1¢ / 1¢ | +0.6 pp |
| Pete Hegseth | 1¢ / 1¢ | 0¢ / 1¢ | +0.8 pp |
| Thomas Massie | 1¢ / 1¢ | 1¢ / 1¢ | +0.4 pp |
| Ivanka Trump | 1¢ / 1¢ | 1¢ / 1¢ | +0.3 pp |
Price history, last 3 days
How this is matched
Multi-outcome markets are matched outcome by outcome by name, with an alias table for the usual spellings. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.
What this is not
Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.