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Ethereum 2026 high odds: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Reach $3,500: 13% on Kalshi, 11% on Polymarket. 5 price levels compared side by side, $107k traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Fri, Jan 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET · Ethereum 2026 high targets · $107k traded in 24h across both venues

Reach $4,000: Kalshi $0.10 vs Polymarket $0.08, +$0.02

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.10 is a 10% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Reach $3,500$0.12 / $0.13$0.10 / $0.12+$0.02
Reach $4,000$0.09 / $0.10$0.07 / $0.08+$0.02
Reach $4,500$0.05 / $0.06$0.04 / $0.05+$0.01
Reach $5,000$0.02 / $0.03$0.03 / $0.03−$0.01
Reach $6,000$0.02 / $0.03$0.02 / $0.02+$0.01

Price history, last 3 days

335 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Multi-outcome markets are matched outcome by outcome by name, with an alias table for the usual spellings. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

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