VenueGap

← ATP tennis matches

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot odds, Oct 12: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Tommy Paul 59% on Kalshi, 59% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot, Oct 12, $87k traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 7:30 AM ET · ATP tennis matches · $87k traded in 24h across both venues

Tommy Paul: Kalshi $0.59 vs Polymarket $0.59, $0.00

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.59 is a 59% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-4.21% after fees
Buy Tommy Paul @ Polymarket $0.59, Valentin Vacherot @ Kalshi $0.42

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Tommy Paul$0.58 / $0.59$0.58 / $0.59$0.00
Valentin Vacherot$0.41 / $0.42$0.41 / $0.42$0.00

Price history, last 3 days

141 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

All ATP tennis matches disagreements · Full price history · Daily reports