VenueGap

← ATP tennis matches

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud odds, Oct 15: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Rafael Jodar 56% on Kalshi, 57% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud, Oct 15, $1000 traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Thu, Oct 15, 2026, 10:00 PM ET · ATP tennis matches · $1000 traded in 24h across both venues

Rafael Jodar: Kalshi $0.56 vs Polymarket $0.57, −$0.02

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.56 is a 56% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-3.23% after fees
Buy Rafael Jodar @ Kalshi $0.56, Casper Ruud @ Polymarket $0.44

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Rafael Jodar$0.55 / $0.56$0.56 / $0.58−$0.02
Casper Ruud$0.44 / $0.45$0.42 / $0.44+$0.02

Price history, last 3 days

3 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

All ATP tennis matches disagreements · Full price history · Daily reports