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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier odds, Oct 7: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Holger Rune 70% on Kalshi, 69% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier, Oct 7, $2k traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Wed, Oct 7, 2026, 4:30 AM ET · ATP tennis matches · $2k traded in 24h across both venues

Holger Rune: Kalshi $0.70 vs Polymarket $0.69, +$0.01

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.70 is a 70% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-3.07% after fees
Buy Holger Rune @ Polymarket $0.69, Daniel Altmaier @ Kalshi $0.31

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Holger Rune$0.69 / $0.70$0.68 / $0.69+$0.01
Daniel Altmaier$0.30 / $0.31$0.31 / $0.32−$0.01

Price history, last 3 days

147 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

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