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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina odds, Oct 17: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Alexander Zverev 79% on Kalshi, 78% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, Oct 17, $333k traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Sat, Oct 17, 2026, 4:30 AM ET · ATP tennis matches · $333k traded in 24h across both venues

Alexander Zverev: Kalshi $0.79 vs Polymarket $0.78, +$0.01

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.79 is a 79% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-2.86% after fees
Buy Alexander Zverev @ Polymarket $0.78, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ Kalshi $0.22

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Alexander Zverev$0.78 / $0.79$0.77 / $0.78+$0.01
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina$0.21 / $0.22$0.22 / $0.23−$0.01

Price history, last 3 days

144 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

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