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Lyon Open, Qualification: Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer odds, Oct 18: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 62% on Kalshi, 63% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of Lyon Open, Qualification: Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, Oct 18, $38 traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Sun, Oct 18, 2026, 9:30 AM ET · ATP tennis matches · $38 traded in 24h across both venues

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer: Kalshi $0.62 vs Polymarket $0.63, −$0.01

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.62 is a 62% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-5.19% after fees
Buy Ugo Blanchet @ Polymarket $0.39, Nicolai Budkov Kjaer @ Kalshi $0.63

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Ugo Blanchet$0.35 / $0.39$0.36 / $0.39−$0.01
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer$0.60 / $0.63$0.61 / $0.64−$0.01

Price history, last 3 days

9 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

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