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Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Taylor Fritz odds, Oct 22: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Taylor Fritz 85% on Kalshi, 84% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Taylor Fritz, Oct 22, $669 traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Thu, Oct 22, 2026, 4:00 AM ET · ATP tennis matches · $669 traded in 24h across both venues

Taylor Fritz: Kalshi $0.85 vs Polymarket $0.84, +$0.01

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.85 is a 85% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-3.64% after fees
Buy Pierre-Hugues Herbert @ Kalshi $0.17, Taylor Fritz @ Polymarket $0.85

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Pierre-Hugues Herbert$0.15 / $0.17$0.15 / $0.17$0.00
Taylor Fritz$0.84 / $0.85$0.83 / $0.85+$0.01

Price history, last 3 days

10 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

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