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Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti odds, Oct 23: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Lorenzo Musetti 66% on Kalshi, 67% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti, Oct 23, $206 traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Fri, Oct 23, 2026, 2:30 PM ET · ATP tennis matches · $206 traded in 24h across both venues

Lorenzo Musetti: Kalshi $0.66 vs Polymarket $0.67, −$0.01

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.66 is a 66% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-4.12% after fees
Buy Luca Van Assche @ Polymarket $0.34, Lorenzo Musetti @ Kalshi $0.67

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Luca Van Assche$0.32 / $0.35$0.32 / $0.34$0.00
Lorenzo Musetti$0.65 / $0.67$0.66 / $0.68−$0.01

Price history, last 3 days

8 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

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