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European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen odds, Oct 23: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Arthur Fils 66% on Kalshi, 66% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen, Oct 23, $1k traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Fri, Oct 23, 2026, 12:30 PM ET · ATP tennis matches · $1k traded in 24h across both venues

Arthur Fils: Kalshi $0.66 vs Polymarket $0.66, $0.00

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.66 is a 66% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-4.12% after fees
Buy Arthur Fils @ Polymarket $0.66, Alex Michelsen @ Kalshi $0.35

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Arthur Fils$0.65 / $0.66$0.65 / $0.66$0.00
Alex Michelsen$0.33 / $0.35$0.34 / $0.35−$0.01

Price history, last 3 days

9 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

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