Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta odds, Oct 24: Kalshi vs Polymarket
Jacob Fearnley 59% on Kalshi, 57% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta, Oct 24, $706 traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.
Sat, Oct 24, 2026, 5:00 AM ET · ATP tennis matches · $706 traded in 24h across both venues
Jacob Fearnley: Kalshi $0.59 vs Polymarket $0.57, +$0.01
Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.59 is a 59% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.
Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.
All outcomes
| Outcome | Kalshi bid / ask | Polymarket bid / ask | Gap, + = Kalshi higher |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fearnley | $0.57 / $0.60 | $0.56 / $0.59 | +$0.01 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | $0.39 / $0.42 | $0.41 / $0.44 | −$0.02 |
Price history, last 3 days
How this is matched
Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.
What this is not
Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.