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Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley odds, Oct 26: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Arthur Fery 51% on Kalshi, 52% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley, Oct 26, $712 traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Mon, Oct 26, 2026, 12:30 PM ET · ATP tennis matches · $712 traded in 24h across both venues

Arthur Fery: Kalshi $0.51 vs Polymarket $0.52, −$0.01

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.51 is a 51% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-4.25% after fees
Buy Arthur Fery @ Kalshi $0.52, Jacob Fearnley @ Polymarket $0.49

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Arthur Fery$0.50 / $0.52$0.51 / $0.53−$0.01
Jacob Fearnley$0.49 / $0.50$0.47 / $0.49+$0.02

Price history, last 3 days

7 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

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