VenueGap

← ATP tennis matches

Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Ignacio Buse odds, Oct 27: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Adrian Mannarino 60% on Kalshi, 61% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Ignacio Buse, Oct 27, $3k traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 5:00 AM ET · ATP tennis matches · $3k traded in 24h across both venues

Adrian Mannarino: Kalshi $0.60 vs Polymarket $0.61, −$0.01

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.60 is a 60% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-4.20% after fees
Buy Adrian Mannarino @ Kalshi $0.61, Ignacio Buse @ Polymarket $0.40

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Adrian Mannarino$0.59 / $0.61$0.60 / $0.62−$0.01
Ignacio Buse$0.39 / $0.40$0.38 / $0.40+$0.01

Price history, last 3 days

9 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

All ATP tennis matches disagreements · Full price history · Daily reports