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China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli odds, Sep 30: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Flavio Cobolli 54% on Kalshi, 55% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli, Sep 30, $63k traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Wed, Sep 30, 2026, 11:00 PM ET · ATP tennis matches · $63k traded in 24h across both venues

Flavio Cobolli: Kalshi $0.54 vs Polymarket $0.55, −$0.01

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.54 is a 54% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-4.24% after fees
Buy Roman Safiullin @ Polymarket $0.46, Flavio Cobolli @ Kalshi $0.55

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Roman Safiullin$0.46 / $0.47$0.45 / $0.46+$0.01
Flavio Cobolli$0.53 / $0.55$0.54 / $0.55−$0.01

Price history, last 3 days

122 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

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