China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz odds, Oct 5: Kalshi vs Polymarket
Alex de Minaur 56% on Kalshi, 56% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz, Oct 5, $2k traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.
Mon, Oct 5, 2026, 3:00 AM ET · ATP tennis matches · $2k traded in 24h across both venues
Alex de Minaur: Kalshi $0.56 vs Polymarket $0.56, +$0.01
Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.56 is a 56% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.
Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.
All outcomes
| Outcome | Kalshi bid / ask | Polymarket bid / ask | Gap, + = Kalshi higher |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | $0.56 / $0.57 | $0.55 / $0.56 | +$0.01 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | $0.43 / $0.44 | $0.44 / $0.45 | −$0.01 |
Price history, last 3 days
How this is matched
Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.
What this is not
Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.