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BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Leo Borg vs Toby Samuel odds, Nov 9: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Toby Samuel 90% on Kalshi, 90% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Leo Borg vs Toby Samuel, Nov 9, $13k traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Mon, Nov 9, 2026, 1:30 PM ET · ATP tennis matches · $13k traded in 24h across both venues

Toby Samuel: Kalshi $0.90 vs Polymarket $0.90, $0.00

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.90 is a 90% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-2.45% after fees
Buy Leo Borg @ Kalshi $0.11, Toby Samuel @ Polymarket $0.90

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Leo Borg$0.10 / $0.11$0.10 / $0.11$0.00
Toby Samuel$0.89 / $0.90$0.89 / $0.90$0.00

Price history, last 3 days

2 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

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