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BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo odds, Nov 12: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Alex Michelsen 76% on Kalshi, 75% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo, Nov 12, $760 traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Thu, Nov 12, 2026, 7:00 AM ET · ATP tennis matches · $760 traded in 24h across both venues

Alex Michelsen: Kalshi $0.76 vs Polymarket $0.75, +$0.01

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.76 is a 76% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-5.89% after fees
Buy Alex Michelsen @ Polymarket $0.77, Alejandro Tabilo @ Kalshi $0.26

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Alex Michelsen$0.74 / $0.77$0.73 / $0.77+$0.01
Alejandro Tabilo$0.25 / $0.26$0.23 / $0.27+$0.01

Price history, last 3 days

3 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

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