ATP World Tour Finals, Ivan Lendl Group: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli odds, Nov 16: Kalshi vs Polymarket
Daniil Medvedev 77% on Kalshi, 76% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of ATP World Tour Finals, Ivan Lendl Group: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli, Nov 16, $465 traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.
Mon, Nov 16, 2026, 2:30 PM ET · ATP tennis matches · $465 traded in 24h across both venues
Daniil Medvedev: Kalshi $0.77 vs Polymarket $0.76, +$0.01
Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.77 is a 77% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.
Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.
All outcomes
| Outcome | Kalshi bid / ask | Polymarket bid / ask | Gap, + = Kalshi higher |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | $0.75 / $0.78 | $0.75 / $0.76 | +$0.01 |
| Flavio Cobolli | $0.22 / $0.25 | $0.24 / $0.25 | −$0.01 |
How this is matched
Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.
What this is not
Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.