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Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Rei Sakamoto odds, Oct 18: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Rei Sakamoto 54% on Kalshi, 54% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Rei Sakamoto, Oct 18, $42k traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Sun, Oct 18, 2026, 2:00 AM ET · ATP tennis matches · $42k traded in 24h across both venues

Rei Sakamoto: Kalshi $0.54 vs Polymarket $0.54, $0.00

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.54 is a 54% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-4.24% after fees
Buy Gabriel Diallo @ Kalshi $0.47, Rei Sakamoto @ Polymarket $0.54

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Gabriel Diallo$0.46 / $0.47$0.46 / $0.47$0.00
Rei Sakamoto$0.53 / $0.54$0.53 / $0.54$0.00

Price history, last 3 days

11 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

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