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Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro odds, Oct 22: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Daniil Medvedev 91% on Kalshi, 91% on Polymarket. Both exchanges' prices for every outcome of Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro, Oct 22, $535 traded in 24 hours, updated every 45 seconds.

Thu, Oct 22, 2026, 2:00 AM ET · ATP tennis matches · $535 traded in 24h across both venues

Daniil Medvedev: Kalshi $0.91 vs Polymarket $0.91, $0.00

Mid prices, in dollars on a contract that pays $1 if it happens: $0.91 is a 91% chance. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-3.37% after fees
Buy Daniil Medvedev @ Polymarket $0.92, Sho Shimabukuro @ Kalshi $0.10

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap, + = Kalshi higher
Daniil Medvedev$0.90 / $0.91$0.89 / $0.92$0.00
Sho Shimabukuro$0.09 / $0.10$0.08 / $0.11$0.00

Price history, last 3 days

26 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

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