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US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina odds: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Sat, Sep 12, 2026, 4:00 PM ET · WTA tennis matches · $17k traded in 24h across both venues.

Aryna Sabalenka: Kalshi 57¢ vs Polymarket 55¢, +2.5 pp

Mid prices. A price is the market's probability: 57¢ means 57%. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket in percentage points.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-3.23¢ per $1, after fees
Buy Aryna Sabalenka @ Polymarket 56¢, Elena Rybakina @ Kalshi 44¢

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap
Aryna Sabalenka57¢ / 58¢54¢ / 56¢+2.5 pp
Elena Rybakina43¢ / 44¢44¢ / 46¢-1.5 pp

Price history, last 3 days

8 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

All WTA tennis matches disagreements · Full price history · Daily reports