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UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) odds: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Sat, Sep 19, 2026, 5:00 PM ET · UFC fights · $13 traded in 24h across both venues.

Iwo Baraniewski: Kalshi 70¢ vs Polymarket 69¢, +1.0 pp

Mid prices. A price is the market's probability: 70¢ means 70%. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket in percentage points.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-4.05¢ per $1, after fees
Buy Alonzo Menifield @ Kalshi 31¢, Iwo Baraniewski @ Polymarket 70¢

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap
Alonzo Menifield28¢ / 31¢30¢ / 32¢-1.5 pp
Iwo Baraniewski69¢ / 71¢68¢ / 70¢+1.0 pp

Price history, last 3 days

4 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

All UFC fights disagreements · Full price history · Daily reports