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Noche UFC: Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims) odds: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Sat, Sep 12, 2026, 2:00 PM ET · UFC fights · $4k traded in 24h across both venues.

Édgar Cháirez: Kalshi 65¢ vs Polymarket 65¢, +0.5 pp

Mid prices. A price is the market's probability: 65¢ means 65%. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket in percentage points.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-4.14¢ per $1, after fees
Buy Tim Elliott @ Kalshi 36¢, Édgar Cháirez @ Polymarket 65¢

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap
Tim Elliott33¢ / 36¢35¢ / 36¢-1.0 pp
Édgar Cháirez64¢ / 66¢64¢ / 65¢+0.5 pp

Price history, last 3 days

8 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

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