Dana White's Contender Series: Hugo Guillon vs. Luis Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card) odds: Kalshi vs Polymarket
Tue, Sep 15, 2026, 7:00 PM ET · UFC fights · $181 traded in 24h across both venues.
Hugo Guillon: Kalshi 59¢ vs Polymarket 62¢, -3.0 pp
Mid prices. A price is the market's probability: 59¢ means 59%. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket in percentage points.
Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.
-7.22¢ per $1, after fees
Buy Luis Hernandez @ Polymarket 42¢, Hugo Guillon @ Kalshi 62¢
All outcomes
| Outcome | Kalshi bid / ask | Polymarket bid / ask | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Hernandez | 39¢ / 41¢ | 34¢ / 42¢ | +2.0 pp |
| Hugo Guillon | 56¢ / 62¢ | 58¢ / 66¢ | -3.0 pp |
Price history, last 3 days
How this is matched
Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.
What this is not
Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.