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New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins odds: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Wed, Sep 9, 2026, 6:40 PM ET · MLB games · $2k traded in 24h across both venues.

Miami Marlins: Kalshi 53¢ vs Polymarket 53¢, -0.5 pp

Mid prices. A price is the market's probability: 53¢ means 53%. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket in percentage points.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-6.25¢ per $1, after fees
Buy New York Mets @ Polymarket 49¢, Miami Marlins @ Kalshi 54¢

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap
New York Mets45¢ / 49¢45¢ / 49¢0.0 pp
Miami Marlins51¢ / 54¢51¢ / 55¢-0.5 pp

Price history, last 3 days

151 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

All MLB games disagreements · Full price history · Daily reports