Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks odds: Kalshi vs Polymarket
Wed, Sep 16, 2026, 9:40 PM ET · MLB games · $26 traded in 24h across both venues.
Arizona Diamondbacks: Kalshi 57¢ vs Polymarket 54¢, +3.5 pp
Mid prices. A price is the market's probability: 57¢ means 57%. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket in percentage points.
Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.
-5.24¢ per $1, after fees
Buy Miami Marlins @ Kalshi 47¢, Arizona Diamondbacks @ Polymarket 55¢
All outcomes
| Outcome | Kalshi bid / ask | Polymarket bid / ask | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins | 43¢ / 47¢ | 45¢ / 48¢ | -1.5 pp |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 56¢ / 58¢ | 52¢ / 55¢ | +3.5 pp |
Price history, last 3 days
How this is matched
Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.
What this is not
Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.